Krasnodar 1-2 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.98
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 26%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.11/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.60
-42% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 0.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
423 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
28.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
29.04.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
05.11.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
07.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-2 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-2
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov nicked a narrow win over Krasnodar 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 67% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 33%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov?

Krasnodar 1-2 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Cup on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 50%, draw 27%, Krylya Sovetov 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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