Akron 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 29 Jul 2025

Akron
2-1 HT 1-1
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅29/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2025/2026

Akron vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
49%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
48%
Away Win
36%
+12.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Akron v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.42/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-67% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Akron vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.03.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
13.11.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1
31.07.2021 Akron Akron 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
05.12.2020 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
30.08.2020 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 HT 1-0 Akron Akron RUS1

Akron 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
2-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron nicked a narrow win over Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Baltika Kaliningrad at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Akron had 45% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 55%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Akron and 1.20 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Akron vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Akron 2-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Cup on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Akron 28%, draw 23%, Baltika Kaliningrad 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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