Naples 2-1 Texoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Texoma EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.38/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.21
+8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
8.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
6.5 Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Texoma
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.55 xG 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
296 Passes 318
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
06.04.2025 Texoma 0-3 HT 0-1 Naples USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-1
AWAY Texoma
0.81 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
311 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naples vs Texoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples edged past Texoma 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naples had 51% of the ball to Texoma's 49%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.81 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Naples vs Texoma?

Naples 2-1 Texoma in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Texoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Naples 50%, draw 26%, Texoma 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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