Forward Madison 2-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
39%
2.66
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
1.9
No
72%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.1pp
39%
Draw
34%
+5.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.6pp
28%
BTTS Yes
49%
-20.4pp
72%
BTTS No
51%
+20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.26/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.11
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +30%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 84%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
16.4 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
1W-4D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USLKP
10.05.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
20.10.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
02.10.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-2 HT 1-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
2-2
AWAY One Knoxville
3.06 xG 1.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 273
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison and One Knoxville shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 39% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (72%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forward Madison had 60% of the ball to One Knoxville's 40%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 3.06 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Forward Madison and 0.67 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

Forward Madison 2-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 25%, draw 39%, One Knoxville 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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