Forward Madison 1-0 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
0W-5D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.14 xG 0.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 295
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
20.10.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
02.10.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-2 HT 1-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
04.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison squeezed past One Knoxville 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Forward Madison made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, One Knoxville led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Forward Madison and 0.67 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

Forward Madison 1-0 One Knoxville in the USLKP on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 40%, draw 30%, One Knoxville 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5
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