Richmond Kickers 0-3 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lexington
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.41 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 280
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-0 HT 0-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
28.07.2024 Lexington Lexington 2-1 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
27.08.2023 Lexington Lexington 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
30.07.2023 Lexington Lexington 2-2 HT 1-2 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
21.05.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-1 HT 0-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington cruised past Richmond Kickers 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.20 for Lexington.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Lexington?

Richmond Kickers 0-3 Lexington in the USLKP on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 28%, draw 28%, Lexington 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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