Indy Eleven 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +83%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
337 Passes 403
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.06.2025 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
20.10.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 3-2 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
10.06.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
10.08.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
18.06.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
13.10.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 3-1 HT 2-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven and Birmingham Legion shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.17 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?

Indy Eleven 1-1 Birmingham Legion in the USLKP on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 39%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Indy Eleven), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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