Barnet 2-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.58
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.9
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.5
X/1
15%
4.05
X/2
9%
11.1
X/X
12%
6.89
2/1
6%
19.35
2/2
10%
7.49
2/X
5%
15.8
Value flag · 1/X at 15.5 — our 9% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.8pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
2.36/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.83
+28% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Altrincham
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-2 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.09.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
21.02.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-4 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
02.05.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
08.01.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
2-1
AWAY Altrincham
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet squeezed past Altrincham 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Barnet had 66% of the ball to Altrincham's 34%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barnet and 1.50 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Altrincham?

Barnet 2-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barnet 48%, draw 26%, Altrincham 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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