York City 2-1 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Sep 2024

York City
2-1 HT 2-1
Braintree Town
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

York City vs Braintree Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
11%
3.85
X/2
12%
9.39
X/X
13%
4.9
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
9%
7.59
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York City v Braintree Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.09/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.37
-38% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

York City vs Braintree Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Braintree Town
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
01.04.2017 York City York City 3-0 HT 2-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
08.10.2016 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
21.04.2012 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
08.10.2011 York City York City 6-2 HT 4-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
POST-MATCH York City vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City edged past Braintree Town 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, York City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for York City and 0.75 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of York City vs Braintree Town?

York City 2-1 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split York City 48%, draw 26%, Braintree Town 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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