Altrincham 3-2 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.31
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.96
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
15%
6.3
X/2
10%
5.35
X/X
16%
5.16
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.15
2/X
7%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.56/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.39
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barnet
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.09.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
21.02.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-4 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
02.05.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
08.01.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
24.04.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 2-3 HT 2-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham squeezed past Barnet 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Altrincham and 2.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Barnet?

Altrincham 3-2 Barnet in the England - National League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 41%, draw 27%, Barnet 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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