Dorking Wanderers 0-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Jan 2024

Dorking Wanderers
0-1 HT 0-1
Oldham Athletic
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Dorking Wanderers vs Oldham Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.27
2-3 Goals
46%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.75
1/X
4%
17.3
X/1
9%
13.15
X/2
22%
3.73
X/X
7%
6.2
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
29%
1.77
2/X
9%
16.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.75 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dorking Wanderers v Oldham Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 69%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+63% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards –

Dorking Wanderers vs Oldham Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
07.01.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-5 HT 1-3 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
13.08.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 3-2 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL

Dorking Wanderers 0-1 Oldham Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic squeezed past Dorking Wanderers 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 60% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 40%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 2.67 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Oldham Athletic?

Dorking Wanderers 0-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 21%, draw 20%, Oldham Athletic 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5
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