Hartlepool United 2-1 Oxford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.03
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
4.22
X/2
10%
10.2
X/X
14%
6.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
2/2
14%
6.85
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-14.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford City EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.62/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.49
-8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Oxford City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.09.2023 Oxford City Oxford City 5-2 HT 1-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
2-1
AWAY Oxford City
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Oxford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United nicked a narrow win over Oxford City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 54% of the ball to Oxford City's 46%, shots finished 21-4.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Oxford City?

Hartlepool United 2-1 Oxford City in the England - National League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Oxford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 42%, draw 27%, Oxford City 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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