Ebbsfleet United 2-0 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.34 — our 27% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.21
1/2
8%
21.3
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
7%
6.9
X/2
10%
5.07
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
23%
2.76
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.19/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.65
-8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 5
09.09.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
25.08.2014 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2-0
AWAY Wealdstone
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United saw off Wealdstone 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wealdstone at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 28% of the ball to Wealdstone's 72%, shots finished 9-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wealdstone led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Wealdstone?

Ebbsfleet United 2-0 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 35%, draw 24%, Wealdstone 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✗ BTTS Yes
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