Rochdale 2-0 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 34% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.85
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.55
X/2
10%
5.3
X/X
16%
4.43
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.62
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
2.43/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
+77% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.09.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
26.02.2005 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İN2
11.12.2004 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-1 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
24.04.2004 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
15.11.2003 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İN2
15.04.2003 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
2-0
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale got the better of Kidderminster Harriers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Rochdale made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Rochdale had 53% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 47%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rochdale and 1.00 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Rochdale 2-0 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - National League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 38%, draw 28%, Kidderminster Harriers 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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