Lowestoft Town 3-2 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.07
Over
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No Pick
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.1pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -22%
1.07/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.61
-32% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lowestoft Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Royston Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.02.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İNGNLP
19.10.2021 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lowestoft Town vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lowestoft Town edged past Royston Town 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Lowestoft Town made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lowestoft Town and 2.00 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Lowestoft Town vs Royston Town?

Lowestoft Town 3-2 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lowestoft Town vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lowestoft Town 36%, draw 26%, Royston Town 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Royston Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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