Whitby Town 1-2 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.19/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.20
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Guiseley
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2024 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
15.08.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 1-3 HT 0-2 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
10.01.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 3-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town FAK
23.08.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 2-1 HT 2-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Whitby Town
1-2
AWAY Guiseley
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley edged past Whitby Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Guiseley found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Whitby Town had 36% of the ball to Guiseley's 64%, shots finished 10-20.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guiseley led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Whitby Town and 2.00 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Guiseley?

Whitby Town 1-2 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 37%, draw 28%, Guiseley 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Whitby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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