Greifswalder SV 1-2 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.62/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.10
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
0W-3D-1L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
03.09.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 5-0 HT 4-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 1-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greifswalder SV
1-2
AWAY BFC Dynamo
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Dynamo nicked a narrow win over Greifswalder SV 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Greifswalder SV had 53% of the ball to BFC Dynamo's 47%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.50 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs BFC Dynamo?

Greifswalder SV 1-2 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 42%, draw 24%, BFC Dynamo 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5
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