Eilenburg 1-3 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.53
No
59%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
34%
+11.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
61%
-20.2pp
59%
BTTS No
39%
+20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.28/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.08
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-3 HT 1-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
01.09.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
15.05.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 2-3 HT 1-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 5-1 HT 2-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eilenburg
1-3
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II saw off Eilenburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eilenburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eilenburg had 36% of the ball to Hertha Berlin II's 64%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Eilenburg and 3.00 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Hertha Berlin II?

Eilenburg 1-3 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eilenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 45%, draw 21%, Hertha Berlin II 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eilenburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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