Chemnitzer FC 0-1 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.28/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.64
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
12.03.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
01.10.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
25.02.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
27.08.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemnitzer FC
0-1
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig squeezed past Chemnitzer FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Chemie Leipzig found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chemnitzer FC had 49% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 51%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 1.17 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Chemie Leipzig?

Chemnitzer FC 0-1 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 37%, draw 30%, Chemie Leipzig 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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