Chemnitzer FC 1-1 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.61/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.85
-1% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
12.03.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
01.10.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
25.02.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
27.08.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
01.11.2020 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemnitzer FC
1-1
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC and Chemie Leipzig shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chemnitzer FC had 52% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 1.33 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Chemie Leipzig?

Chemnitzer FC 1-1 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 40%, draw 32%, Chemie Leipzig 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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