Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-16.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.99/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.40
-7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-2 HT 0-2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
31.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
08.04.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
31.10.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-2 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
16.05.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-2 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0-1
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf II edged past Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Oberhausen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had 54% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf II's 46%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 0.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 44%, draw 27%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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