Spelle-Venhaus 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
32%
4.62
Away
45%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.29
Over 2.5
42%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+9.8pp
32%
Draw
19%
+13.0pp
45%
Away Win
68%
-22.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
40%
+18.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
60%
-18.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.3pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spelle-Venhaus EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 72%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.52/2.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.67
-45% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +36%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spelle-Venhaus
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2 Corners 4
02.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 3-1 HT 0-1 Spelle-Venhaus ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Spelle-Venhaus vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel beat Spelle-Venhaus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Drochtersen / Assel as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Spelle-Venhaus vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Spelle-Venhaus 1-3 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spelle-Venhaus vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spelle-Venhaus 23%, draw 32%, Drochtersen / Assel 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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