Hertha Berlin II 2-3 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
2.57/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
+20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Eilenburg
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
15.05.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 2-3 HT 1-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 5-1 HT 2-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin II
2-3
AWAY Eilenburg
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg edged past Hertha Berlin II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin II had 59% of the ball to Eilenburg's 41%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 2.00 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Eilenburg?

Hertha Berlin II 2-3 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 49%, draw 26%, Eilenburg 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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