Paderborn 07 II 2-0 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Feb 2024

Paderborn 07 II
2-0 HT 1-0
Düren Merzenich
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.8pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.3pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paderborn 07 II v Düren Merzenich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 39%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.96/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.28
+82% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL

Paderborn 07 II 2-0 Düren Merzenich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn 07 II
2-0
AWAY Düren Merzenich
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II got the better of Düren Merzenich 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 30%) promised a tight game; Paderborn 07 II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paderborn 07 II had 55% of the ball to Düren Merzenich's 45%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich?

Paderborn 07 II 2-0 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 34%, draw 36%, Düren Merzenich 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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