Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Feb 2024

Lokomotive Leipzig
1-0 HT 1-0
Babelsberg
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotive Leipzig v Babelsberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.66/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.97
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 4-1 HT 3-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
14.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 4-3 HT 2-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
22.10.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.10.2019 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
02.04.2014 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL

Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 Babelsberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
1-0
AWAY Babelsberg
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig nicked a narrow win over Babelsberg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Lokomotive Leipzig made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotive Leipzig had 35% of the ball to Babelsberg's 65%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.50 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg?

Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 38%, draw 31%, Babelsberg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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