Kilia Kiel 2-3 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.5pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilia Kiel EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 60%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.24/2.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.58
+8% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilia Kiel
0W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
7 Corners 1
03.09.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-2 HT 2-0 Kilia Kiel ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilia Kiel
2-3
AWAY St. Pauli II
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kilia Kiel vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II nicked a narrow win over Kilia Kiel 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pauli II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kilia Kiel had 37% of the ball to St. Pauli II's 63%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Kilia Kiel vs St. Pauli II?

Kilia Kiel 2-3 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilia Kiel vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kilia Kiel 33%, draw 19%, St. Pauli II 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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