Botafogo SP 1-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
71%
1.36
Over
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
45%
1.91
2-3
36%
1.87
4-5
13%
7.15
6+
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.3pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
0.91/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.17
-15% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.4 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Goias
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 1
340 Passes 456
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
19.05.2024 Goias Goias 4-0 HT 2-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
1-0
AWAY Goias
0.76 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 8
215 Passes 215
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP squeezed past Goias 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and on the day Botafogo SP made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 50% of the ball to Goias's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.76 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Goias?

Botafogo SP 1-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 37%, draw 35%, Goias 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo SP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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