Ponte Preta vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponte Preta v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Ponte Preta vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
Ponte Preta 0-2 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense saw off Ponte Preta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Ponte Preta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ponte Preta had 49% of the ball to Chapecoense's 51%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.86 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ponte Preta and 0.83 for Chapecoense.
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Chapecoense?
Ponte Preta 0-2 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Chapecoense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 42%, draw 32%, Chapecoense 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ponte Preta) went the other way.