Estonya U21 1-10 Almanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
69%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
12.05
2-3 Goals
45%
2.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.29
6+ Goals
11%
3.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
30%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.0pp
18%
Draw
8%
+10.6pp
69%
Away Win
88%
-18.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estonya U21 EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U21 EU Bookmakers 94%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.66/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.51
-94% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -42%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
185 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 84%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.5
12.9 Crosses 25.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estonya U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Almanya U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.86 xG 4.77
23% Ball Possession 77%
7 Total Shots 40
3 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 13
139 Passes 667
63% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 80
6 Crosses 40
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2023 Almanya U21 Almanya U21 4-1 HT 1-0 Estonya U21 Estonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estonya U21
1-10
AWAY Almanya U21
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 30
1 Shots on Target 21
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Estonya U21 vs Almanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U21 swept aside Estonya U21 10-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 10-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Estonya U21 had 37% of the ball to Almanya U21's 63%, shots finished 4-30.

What was the final score of Estonya U21 vs Almanya U21?

Estonya U21 1-10 Almanya U21 in the European U21 on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estonya U21 vs Almanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Estonya U21 13%, draw 18%, Almanya U21 69%. The final score 1-10 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
U21 More European U21
10 Sep 2024
16:00 Moldova U21 vs İsveç U21 Analysis →
17:00 Kazakistan U21 vs Belçika U21 Analysis →
18:00 Azerbaycan U21 vs Sırbistan U21 Analysis →
18:00 Finlandiya U21 vs Romanya U21 Analysis →
18:45 Macaristan U21 vs İspanya U21 Analysis →
19:00 Slovenya U21 vs Güney Kıbrıs U21 Analysis →