Macaristan U21 0-1 İspanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+7.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-10.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.53/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.10
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +12%
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 86%
7.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
9.3 Crosses 21.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macaristan U21
0W-0D-3L
AWAY İspanya U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.21 xG 1.16
31% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
231 Passes 718
80% Pass Accuracy 93%
10 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2023 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 U21
04.09.2014 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 0-1 HT 0-0 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 U21
14.10.2013 İspanya U21 İspanya U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan U21
0-1
AWAY İspanya U21
0.15 xG 1.07
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 12
204 Passes 805
77% Pass Accuracy 91%
5 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macaristan U21 vs İspanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U21 edged past Macaristan U21 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Macaristan U21 had 24% of the ball to İspanya U21's 76%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.15 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İspanya U21 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Macaristan U21 and 1.33 for İspanya U21.

What was the final score of Macaristan U21 vs İspanya U21?

Macaristan U21 0-1 İspanya U21 in the European U21 on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan U21 vs İspanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Macaristan U21 18%, draw 22%, İspanya U21 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U21), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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