Kazakistan U21 0-3 Belçika U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.66 — our 25% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.4pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-14.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan U21 EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -18%
0.09/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.23
-66% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -17%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
49.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
9.0 Crosses 22.6
4.1 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazakistan U21
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Belçika U21
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.34 xG 1.36
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
163 Passes 627
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.09.2023 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 U21
08.10.2021 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 U21
04.06.2021 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 1-3 HT 1-2 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazakistan U21
0-3
AWAY Belçika U21
0.55 xG 1.67
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
263 Passes 594
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 24
4 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kazakistan U21 vs Belçika U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika U21 ran out comfortable winners over Kazakistan U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Belçika U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kazakistan U21 had 33% of the ball to Belçika U21's 67%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.55 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Belçika U21 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kazakistan U21 and 2.00 for Belçika U21.

What was the final score of Kazakistan U21 vs Belçika U21?

Kazakistan U21 0-3 Belçika U21 in the European U21 on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan U21 vs Belçika U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan U21 18%, draw 26%, Belçika U21 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika U21), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belçika U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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