Paysandu vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Chapecoense
BR2
3-2
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR2
Paysandu 2-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Paysandu beat Chapecoense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paysandu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Paysandu had 45% of the ball to Chapecoense's 55%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.73 to 0.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paysandu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paysandu and 1.67 for Chapecoense.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Chapecoense?
Paysandu 2-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Chapecoense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 44%, draw 29%, Chapecoense 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paysandu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.