Anguilla 0-1 Belize — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
9.57
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
53%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
7%
+15.2pp
24%
Draw
14%
+10.3pp
53%
Away Win
79%
-25.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anguilla EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Belize EU Bookmakers 84%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.02/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.31
+27% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
228 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
9.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anguilla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Belize
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 0.99
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
145 Passes 464
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Belize Belize 1-0 HT 1-0 Anguilla Anguilla CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anguilla
0-1
AWAY Belize
0.12 xG 1.56
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
140 Passes 421
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
2 Box Touches 23
0 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Anguilla vs Belize
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belize edged past Anguilla 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Belize as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Anguilla had 30% of the ball to Belize's 70%, shots finished 2-19, expected goals 0.12 to 1.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Belize's control.

What was the final score of Anguilla vs Belize?

Anguilla 0-1 Belize in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anguilla vs Belize?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belize win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Anguilla 22%, draw 24%, Belize 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belize), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belize) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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