Fransız Guyanası 2-3 Honduras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
45%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
13%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
13%
+16.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
45%
Away Win
67%
-21.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransız Guyanası EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Honduras EU Bookmakers 71%
+74% / +74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 47.0
Crosses 39.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransız Guyanası
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Honduras
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
384 Passes 373
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
12.07.2017 Honduras Honduras 0-0 HT 0-0 Fransız Guyanası Fransız Guyanası GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransız Guyanası
2-3
AWAY Honduras
0.28 xG 1.70
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
210 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fransız Guyanası vs Honduras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Honduras edged past Fransız Guyanası 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Honduras as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fransız Guyanası had 35% of the ball to Honduras's 65%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.28 to 1.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Honduras's control.

What was the final score of Fransız Guyanası vs Honduras?

Fransız Guyanası 2-3 Honduras in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransız Guyanası vs Honduras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fransız Guyanası 30%, draw 26%, Honduras 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Honduras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Honduras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
10 Oct 2024
03:00 US Virgin Adaları vs Barbados Analysis →
05:00 Anguilla vs Belize Analysis →
23:00 Küba vs Trinidad & Tobago Analysis →
23:00 Bonaire vs Montserrat Analysis →