Bonaire vs Montserrat Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bonaire v Montserrat — Team-Based Signals
Bonaire 0-1 Montserrat — Actual Match Statistics
Montserrat squeezed past Bonaire 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montserrat as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Bonaire had 33% of the ball to Montserrat's 67%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.55 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Montserrat's control.
Bonaire vs Montserrat Result & Final Score
Bonaire 0 - 1 Montserrat in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bonaire vs Montserrat Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Montserrat win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bonaire 32%, draw 27%, Montserrat 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montserrat) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.