Bonaire 0-1 Montserrat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
28%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
29%
+10.4pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
28%
Away Win
46%
-18.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonaire EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Montserrat EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bonaire
0-1
AWAY Montserrat
0.55 xG 2.44
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
135 Passes 373
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bonaire vs Montserrat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montserrat squeezed past Bonaire 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Montserrat made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bonaire had 33% of the ball to Montserrat's 67%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.55 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Montserrat's control.

What was the final score of Bonaire vs Montserrat?

Bonaire 0-1 Montserrat in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonaire vs Montserrat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonaire win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bonaire 39%, draw 33%, Montserrat 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bonaire), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bonaire) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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