Santa Clara U23 1-1 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Farense U23
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
24.01.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 6-1 HT 2-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
12.12.2023 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
22.09.2023 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-1
AWAY Farense U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 and Farense U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 54% of the ball to Farense U23's 46%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farense U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Santa Clara U23 and 1.50 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Farense U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-1 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 46%, draw 27%, Farense U23 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Clara U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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