San Lorenzo 0-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Oct 2025

San Lorenzo
0-1 HT 0-0
San Martin San Juan
📅10/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.8
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.53
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.43
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.95
X/1
23%
3.82
X/2
6%
9.99
X/X
14%
3.28
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
6%
9.99
2/X
6%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-1.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Lorenzo v San Martin San Juan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.41/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.17
-15% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.6 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 Passes 212
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2025 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
10.10.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJK
23.10.2018 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-1 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
19.11.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-3 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
28.08.2016 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-2 HT 1-2 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
01.03.2015 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ

San Lorenzo 0-1 San Martin San Juan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
0-1
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.98 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
226 Passes 113
70% Pass Accuracy 54%
28 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan squeezed past San Lorenzo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had San Lorenzo at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 61% of the ball to San Martin San Juan's 39%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.98 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured San Lorenzo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.00 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan?

San Lorenzo 0-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 55%, draw 29%, San Martin San Juan 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Lorenzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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