Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.85
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.74
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
13%
6.67
X/2
13%
4.61
X/X
14%
3.47
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.27
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -22%
1.18/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.16
+16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.4 Crosses 20.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 374
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 4-1 HT 4-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
08.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
20.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
24.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
16.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
06.07.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
1-0
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.89 xG 0.96
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 10
189 Passes 408
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia nicked a narrow win over Argentinos Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 35% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 65%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.89 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 1.67 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors?

Defensa y Justicia 1-0 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 33%, draw 29%, Argentinos Juniors 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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