Sao Tome ve Principe 0-6 Tunus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
77%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
11.4
2-3 Goals
43%
2.73
4-5 Goals
20%
2.22
6+ Goals
9%
2.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 11.4 — our 28% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
5%
+4.0pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.1pp
77%
Away Win
88%
-11.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Tome ve Principe EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Tunus EU Bookmakers 94%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.91/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+101% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
210 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Tome ve Principe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tunus
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Tunus Tunus 4-0 HT 1-0 Sao Tome ve Principe Sao Tome ve Principe DKE
POST-MATCH Sao Tome ve Principe vs Tunus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tunus ran out comfortable winners over Sao Tome ve Principe 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tunus as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Sao Tome ve Principe vs Tunus?

Sao Tome ve Principe 0-6 Tunus in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Tome ve Principe vs Tunus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Sao Tome ve Principe 9%, draw 15%, Tunus 77%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tunus), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tunus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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