Güney Kore 0-5 Brezilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
19%
4.19
Away Pick
64%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.64
2-3
37%
1.95
4-5
26%
2.92
6+
10%
8.27
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.64 — our 27% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
10.05
1/2
8%
20.4
1/X
4%
18.25
X/1
3%
12.8
X/2
25%
4.07
X/X
12%
6.66
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
31%
1.79
2/X
4%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Brezilya win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
64%
Away Win
64%
+0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya The Market 69%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
0.73/4.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.68
-13% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
9.0 Crosses 10.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kore
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Brezilya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.58 xG 3.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
403 Passes 540
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
05.12.2022 Brezilya Brezilya 4-1 HT 4-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore DK
02.06.2022 Güney Kore Güney Kore 1-5 HT 1-2 Brezilya Brezilya HAZ
19.11.2019 Brezilya Brezilya 3-0 HT 2-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
12.10.2013 Güney Kore Güney Kore 0-2 HT 0-1 Brezilya Brezilya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore
0-5
AWAY Brezilya
0.14 xG 3.01
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 554
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Güney Kore vs Brezilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya cruised past Güney Kore 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brezilya as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Güney Kore had 41% of the ball to Brezilya's 59%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.14 to 3.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brezilya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Güney Kore and 3.50 for Brezilya.

What was the final score of Güney Kore vs Brezilya?

Güney Kore 0-5 Brezilya in the Friendlies on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore vs Brezilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore 17%, draw 19%, Brezilya 64%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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