Rusya 2-1 İran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Oct 2025

Rusya
2-1 HT 1-0
İran
📅10/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.75
Over
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
37%
3.01
2-3
38%
1.81
4-5
17%
4.0
6+
8%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.01 — our 37% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.23
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
15%
4.06
X/2
6%
9.42
X/X
19%
4.83
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
12%
7.97
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rusya The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY İran The Market 23%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.60/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.34
-15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
16.5 Crosses 10.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rusya
0W-2D-1L
AWAY İran
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
419 Passes 252
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2023 İran İran 1-1 HT 0-1 Rusya Rusya HAZ
10.10.2017 Rusya Rusya 1-1 HT 0-0 İran İran HAZ
09.02.2011 İran İran 1-0 HT 0-0 Rusya Rusya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rusya
2-1
AWAY İran
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
357 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH Rusya vs İran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rusya edged past İran 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rusya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rusya had 55% of the ball to İran's 45%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İran led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rusya and 1.00 for İran.

What was the final score of Rusya vs İran?

Rusya 2-1 İran in the Friendlies on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rusya vs İran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rusya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rusya 46%, draw 31%, İran 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rusya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rusya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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