Uruguay 1-0 Dominik Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.51
Over
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.1
2-3
43%
1.95
4-5
24%
2.57
6+
12%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Uruguay win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
66%
Home Win
72%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti The Market 14%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.53/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.67
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay
1-0
AWAY Dominik Cumhuriyeti
0.47 xG 0.27
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
522 Passes 215
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uruguay vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay nicked a narrow win over Dominik Cumhuriyeti 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uruguay as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uruguay had 67% of the ball to Dominik Cumhuriyeti's 33%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.47 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Uruguay vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Uruguay 1-0 Dominik Cumhuriyeti in the Friendlies on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay vs Dominik Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Uruguay 66%, draw 21%, Dominik Cumhuriyeti 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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