Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 25% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 57%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.41/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.91
-34% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
26.1 Crosses 17.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.37 xG 2.92
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 352
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-5 HT 0-3 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
07.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
29.10.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.02.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.08.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
20.03.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
342 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav and Sparta Prag shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 50% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 50%, shots finished 17-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.83 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag?

Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 26%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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