Rangers 1-0 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.79
6+ Goals
15%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.25
X/1
19%
3.68
X/2
6%
14.9
X/X
5%
7.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.95
2/2
5%
11.05
2/X
6%
18.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.9pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
2.59/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.99
+17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
39.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
28.2 Crosses 21.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hearts
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.64 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
387 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Hearts Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
18.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-3 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
21.04.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKK
24.02.2024 Rangers Rangers 5-0 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
06.12.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
05.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-3 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
1-0
AWAY Hearts
2.17 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 6
419 Passes 414
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers edged past Hearts 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rangers had 50% of the ball to Hearts's 50%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.17 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rangers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rangers and 0.67 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Hearts?

Rangers 1-0 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Rangers 64%, draw 19%, Hearts 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5
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10 Nov 2024
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