Kilmarnock 0-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Nov 2024

Kilmarnock
0-2 HT 0-1
Celtic
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
58%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
15.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
1/X
5%
23.15
X/1
9%
20.05
X/2
13%
3.47
X/X
8%
8.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.48
2/X
8%
22.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.7pp
58%
Away Win
73%
-14.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 77%
+14% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.21/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.73
+25% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +7%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 84%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.7
17.7 Crosses 24.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Kilmarnock vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Celtic
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.07 xG 2.37
26% Ball Possession 74%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
136 Passes 583
59% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
15.05.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-5 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
17.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
10.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.10.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKLK

Kilmarnock 0-2 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
0-2
AWAY Celtic
2.20 xG 2.09
34% Ball Possession 66%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
168 Passes 456
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic got the better of Kilmarnock 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 34% of the ball to Celtic's 66%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.20 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 2.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Kilmarnock 0-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 20%, draw 22%, Celtic 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
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