Tottenham 1-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.17
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.21
2-3 Goals
34%
2.33
4-5 Goals
30%
2.38
6+ Goals
18%
4.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.43
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.3
X/1
22%
3.76
X/2
7%
20.85
X/X
8%
10.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
18.5
2/2
6%
13.45
2/X
4%
21.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.5 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.0pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/3.05
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
467 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
21.6 Crosses 10.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
12.01.2002 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
22.12.2001 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
30.12.2000 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
19.08.2000 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 2-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
1-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.55 xG 1.62
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
462 Passes 188
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 23
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town squeezed past Tottenham 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Tottenham carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 66% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 34%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.55 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Tottenham and 2.00 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Ipswich Town?

Tottenham 1-2 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 66%, draw 17%, Ipswich Town 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
10 Nov 2024
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