Drogheda United 2-0 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 10 Nov 2024

Drogheda United
2-0 HT 1-0
Derry City
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - FAI Cup – 2024

Drogheda United vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.98
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
8.21
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
12%
9.26
X/2
14%
3.79
X/X
17%
3.98
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.36
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
19%
+15.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
54%
-17.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Drogheda United v Derry City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.37/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.06
-14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
206 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Drogheda United vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Derry City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 0.99
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
172 Passes 403
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
28.06.2024 Derry City Derry City 5-1 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
12.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-2 Derry City Derry City İRL
16.02.2024 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
06.10.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
13.08.2023 Derry City Derry City 3-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL

Drogheda United 2-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-0
AWAY Derry City
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United beat Derry City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Drogheda United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Drogheda United had 44% of the ball to Derry City's 56%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 2.17 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Drogheda United 2-0 Derry City in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 35%, draw 29%, Derry City 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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