Valladolid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Nov 2024

Valladolid
1-1 HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.49
1/2
11%
28.5
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
12%
7.82
X/2
12%
4.12
X/X
10%
4.05
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.64
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valladolid v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.23/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.25
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.8 Crosses 20.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.31 xG 1.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 1-3 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
06.12.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
08.11.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-0 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
28.04.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 2-2 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
08.11.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
08.03.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 1-4 HT 0-2 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Valladolid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
0.58 xG 1.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
205 Passes 472
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Valladolid had 35% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 65%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.58 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valladolid and 2.50 for Athletic Bilbao.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao?

Valladolid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 33%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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