Real Sociedad 1-0 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Nov 2024

Real Sociedad
1-0 HT 1-0
Barcelona
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Barcelona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
8%
8.04
X/2
18%
4.37
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.46
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Barcelona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.20/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.18
-22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
20.2 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Real Sociedad vs Barcelona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Barcelona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.12 xG 1.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 473
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.05.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
04.11.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
20.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
25.01.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
21.08.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-4 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
21.04.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1

Real Sociedad 1-0 Barcelona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
1-0
AWAY Barcelona
2.02 xG 0.67
30% Ball Possession 70%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 6
185 Passes 520
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad squeezed past Barcelona 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 30% of the ball to Barcelona's 70%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.02 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Sociedad's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.67 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Barcelona?

Real Sociedad 1-0 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 30%, draw 23%, Barcelona 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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