Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.56
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
14%
6.36
X/2
14%
4.65
X/X
15%
3.48
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.35
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.0pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.07/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.13
+4% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.6 Crosses 15.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 1.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 476
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
25.11.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
26.04.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-1 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
09.11.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
09.04.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
04.12.2021 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-2 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
0-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.61 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
475 Passes 423
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid nicked a narrow win over Mallorca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mallorca had 53% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.61 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mallorca and 1.00 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid?

Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 32%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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